This defense is simply too good and too fast to get beat like they did a month ago in Atlanta. The SEC Championship Game was Georgia’s worst performance on both sides of the ball by a wide margin and I can’t expect that to happen again. Kirby Smart’s defense surrendered 0.31 EPA/Play against Heisman-winner Bryce Young and this offense in the first meeting and while I don’t expect them to play that poorly, I do see Alabama, again, having success.Īs for Georgia winning the game, I think they do more often than not.

My projection sees no value on the spread and minimal value on the under but subjectively, I wouldn’t be rushing to the window to bet the under. As of this writing, Georgia is just a three-point favorite and the total is sitting at 52. In the SEC Championship Game, Georgia was favored by six points and the total went off the board at 49. Suttles: Where would Alabama be without Brian Robinson Jr.? The back who won’t quit carried the Tide to the title game The Athletic’s College Football model Schultz: Georgia’s dominance, lack of celebration are good signs for Alabama game Georgia has plenty of weapons on offense, even if they may not be household names Alabama, Kirby Smart must think in the box Staples: To cure what ailed Georgia’s defense in first game vs.

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